CNET Networks (CNET)

Sale #1 | Sale #2

Company. CNET is "the leading global media company informing and connecting the buyers, users and sellers of technology. The company differentiates itself from other media providers by combining an in-depth knowledge of the technology industry with the power of technology itself." (company website)

CNET stock chart
gain Bottom line
32% sale #1
+45% sale #2
+39% overall

Buy. In contrast to my buy of EFDS, this CNET buy was all wrong.

CNET stock had been climbing for several weeks. When it finally broke the $5 barrier near the end of May, it did so with a spectacular surge that took the stock to a high of $7.19 in two weeks, a 40% leap. I thought I was being smart by waiting for the stock to retreat. In three days time it fell back down to just above $5.00. I bought.

What I failed to notice was that my indicators had begun sloping the wrong way, and the price continued to fall, eventually reaching $4.49, well below my 8% loss-limit. Unfortunately, I wasn't watching the stock when it crossed my limit. Once there I decided to "ride it out."

As luck would have it, an analyst upgrade on 26 June reversed the slide down this slippery slope.

Sell #1. CNET opened much higher today, ahead of the earnings report after the close of trading.

I sold half my stake in CNET. Again I'm hedging my bets. Today's jump and heavy volume would seem to indicate that "the market" thinks the stock is going to continue to rise. But after seeing what happened to Knight trading after it turned in a good report, I'm cutting my risk in half.

It will be fascinating to see what happens tomorrow. The consensus Expectation for CNET was a loss of 9¢ per share. They actually beat expectations with a loss of only 8¢ per share. Will the market punish this good deed? Or reward it? Tomorrow will tell the tale.

Sell #2. CNET opened up again today, having gained in after-hours trading, putting it within reach once again of its 52-week high. Meanwhile, two brokerage houses put out new 12-month price targets on CNET: one said $6, the other $11. That's clear as mud.

chicken

I decided to close my position. Call me chicken, if you must. But— Just last October, CNET bottomed-out at $0.60, making the current price near $8 a 1300% gain over 9 months. That is just not likely to continue much farther. It could of course, and I'll have to suffer seller's remorse.

I'd rather bank the money for my next vacation than risk another bubble bath on a hot internet stock.